Thursday, November 19, 2009

Weekly Football Picks - Week 11


I'm back in first place by a point after last weeks picks. I have a bad feeling about this week because there are a lot of games that could go either way. In other words, I feel another bad week coming on. I think there will be some weird stuff going on this week and some surprise wins.

I've changed my team name this week to "Dick Jaur-GONE" as a dedication to the FORMER Buffalo Bills coach, Dick Jauron.

My picks...

Carolina over Miami. Carolina's been playing much better lately. The obviously have lots of talent on offense and more than enough talent there to score on the Dolphins. This game is in Carolina and Ronnie Brown is hurt so Miami's wildcat/pistol might not be as threatening as it would be if he were in there. I'm going with Carolina because Brown's out and they're playing at home after playing well the last couple of weeks.

Dallas over Washington. Dallas looked horrible last week. Washington looked better than they have all year. This game is in Dallas but home-field advantage doesn't mean anything in this rivalry. I'm not picking the Skins even though we won last week and I want them to win this game. I just don't believe they have it in them to go to Dallas and take this game. Sorry guys, I hope you win but I don't think you will.

Detroit over Cleveland. I don't know why. I guess I should pick Cleveland in an attempt to protect my lead since most people will probably pick Cleveland. Mehhh, we'll see. I might change this pick before Sunday, who knows.

Green Bay over San Francisco. Even though I think last week says more about Dallas than it does about the Packers, I don't think the 49ers are going to make the trip to Green Bay and deal with the "elements" well. Green Bay is used to playing in the cold/snowy/dreadful weather. If this game is played in inclement weather, Green Bay takes it. If it's played in fair weather, San Francisco keeps it close but loses late.

Pittsburgh over Kansas City. Do I really need to justify this?

Minnesota over Seattle. Seattle STINKS. I've said it one million and one times now.

Giants over Falcons. Eli's not 100% but Atlanta isn't consistent enough to beat them in NYC. And if Michael Turner's out I see the Giants D-Line having a HUGE day getting at Matt Ryan since Aaron Snelling and Jerious Norwood don't present much of a threat.

New Orleans over Tampa Bay. This is a trap game for the Saints because Tampa's a divisional foe. I wouldn't be surprised to see Tampa go up by a couple TDs early and then fall apart at the end and let Drew Brees slice them like a Thanksgiving Turkey.

Jags over Bills. The Jags are building momentum and the Bills STINK and have a brand new coach this week. Do I smell a blow-out? MJD FTW!

Baltimore over Indianapolis. Baltimore will come be ready to play crack some heads this game. Losing Suggs on defense hurts though, especially when you're trying to throw Peyton off. The Ravens have already ended one team's unbeaten streak this year (DEN) and this will be tougher, but it'll be the second winning streak they end. Sorry Peyton.

Arizona over St. Louis. Kurt Warner returns to St. Louis with a healthy Anquan Boldin, and with Fitz and Breaston to go along with him... I see a lot of points being scored. Beanie Wells might get a few TDs this game as well but Stephen Jackson will get his yards for all the fantasy owners.

San Diego over Denver. The Chargers are playing with a lot of confidence right now and they've built up some of that typical mid-season momentum they tend to have in their run to a first-round play-off loss. Denver is on the down-swing and Kyle Orton is hurt. This might actually be a blow-out if Denver gives up a couple easy TDs early.

Cincinnati over Oakland. The Bengals are for real. Oakland is FTLAWSE.

New England over NYJ. The Brady Bunch will not lose twice to the Jets this year. I wonder if Rex Ryan is going to leave messages for the Pats fans asking them to stay home this game since he left messages for Jets fans asking them to show up to the first NE/Jets match-up this year. Oh yeah, Randy Moss has something to prove when it comes to Derrelle Revis. Watch that match-up.

Philly over Chicago. Even without Brian Westbrook the Eagles and their blitzes should be able to beat Jay Cutler and the inconsistent Bears.

Titans over Texans. Tennessee is building up the same type of momentum that San Diego is. After starting the season horribly, they seem to be getting it together thanks to Chris Johnson and (ahem) Vince Young. The Texans can't stop CJ.

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